Crypto Market Alert: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimat | 2026 - CapCoinMarketCap

Breaking crypto market development: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates. Here is our analysis of the impact on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader digital asset market.

What You Need to Know

Here are the key details from this alert:

Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein
Volumes have already surged in the first few months of this year, the investment bank wrote in a report Tuesday, with Kalshi and Polymarket, the two largest platforms, seeing about $60 billion in mark
Growth rates for the platforms rival the artificial intelligence boom, according to Bank of America
Analyst Julie Hoover in a note last week called Kalshi one of the “fastest growing non-AI companies” in the U
Weekly trading volume on Kalshi — which controls more than 90% of the U
prediction market — has surged to more than $3 billion today from about $100 million a year ago, she wrote
Source: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates

Crypto Market Impact

Digital asset markets are reacting to this development. Traders should monitor Bitcoin dominance, altcoin correlations, and exchange flow data for directional clues.

Exchange Safety

Always store significant holdings in cold wallets. For exchange comparisons, see Top 10 Exchanges and CapCoinMarketCap.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is this news verified?

This report is based on information from external sources identified through our news monitoring system. We recommend verifying directly with primary sources and official regulators before making any financial decisions.

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Published by Capcoinmarketcap on April 15, 2026. Source: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernste